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Основы социологии

Introduction to Social Macrodynamics: Secular Cycles and Millennial Trends

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Korotayev A.    
714 руб
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Complexity, multivariability, and contradictions of social evolution lead researchers to a logical conclusion that any simplification, reduction, or neglect of the multiplicity of factors leads inevitably to the multiplication of error and to significant misunderstanding of the processes under study. It is shown that they can be described mathematically in a rather accurate way with rather simple models. A way to approach human society as an extremely complex system is to recognize differences of abstraction and time scale between different levels. The view that any simple general laws are not observed at all with respect to social evolution has become totally dominant within the academic community, especially among those who specialize in the Humanities and who confront directly in their research the manifold unpredictability of social processes. In turn, for an adequate understanding of cyclical dynamics the millennial trend background should be taken into account. In this book the authors analyze more complex regularities of its dynamics on shorter scales, as well as dynamics of its constituent parts paying special attention to "secular" cyclical dynamics. It is shown that the structure of millennial trends cannot be adequately understood without secular cycles being taken into consideration. The first book of the Introduction (Compact Macromodels of the World System Growth. Moscow: URSS, 2006) discusses general regularities of the World System long-term development. If the main task of scientific analysis is to detect the main forces acting on systems so as to discover fundamental laws at a sufficiently coarse scale, then abstracting from details and deviations from general rules may help to identify measurable deviations from these laws in finer detail and shorter time scales. Modern achievements in the field of mathematical modeling suggest that social evolution can be described with rigorous and sufficiently simple macrolaws. Human society is a complex nonequilibrium system that changes and develops constantly.
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802 руб
Раздел: Алфавит, азбука
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1432 руб
Раздел: Игры логические
Комплект универсальных обложек с липким слоем, 380х250 мм, 25 штук.
Обложки универсальные с липким слоем, 25 штук, размер 380x250 мм.
354 руб
Раздел: Обложки для книг

Вища бібліотечно-інформаційна освіта в сучасній Україні: формування документологічної...
Разработана конкретно-дисциплинарная модель документологической подготовки бакалавров и магистров, построенная на объединении когнитивно-документивной, документивно-информационной и документивно-когнитивной парадигм отраслевого образования. Ключевые слова: библиотечно-информационное образование, социальная коммуникация, документальная коммуникация, концептуальная модель документологической подготовки кадров, конкретно-дисциплинарная модель документологической подготовки кадров. Demchy a L.I. Higher educa io i he sphere of library a d i forma io scie ce i prese day Ukrai e: forma io of docume ological compo e . – Ma uscrip . hesis for he scie ific degree of a Ca dida e of scie ces i social commu ica io s, speciali y 27.00.03 – Book scie ce, library scie ce, bibliography scie ce. – Kharkiv S a e Academy of Cul ure. – Kharkiv, 2008. For he firs ime he docume ological compo e of he co e of library a d i forma io scie ce (LIS) educa io is exami ed as a sys em phe ome o , which is formed u der he i flue ce of cha ges i social-commu ica ive e viro me upo co di io of i forma iza io a d level educa io i prese -day Ukrai e. he mai s ages of he developme of scie ific a d educa io al subjec s of docume -commu ica io cycle are de ermi ed, which makes i possible o reveal prerequisi es of ra sforma io of book-docume scie ce educa io i o docume ological educa io of Ukrai ia library a d i forma io perso el. his educa io is direc ed o he wide ra ge of radi io al a d elec ro ic socially sig ifica docume s specially crea ed for ra sfer i ime a d space, a d based upo docume paradigm of educa io co e . he impor a role of docume commu ica io as a domi a of co e of higher LIS educa io is proved. he compara ive a alysis is made of he prese -day s a e of specialis s rai i g i Ukrai e a d o her cou ries as for re rieval, selec io , cumula io , a aly ical a d sy he ic processi g of docume s of various ypes a d forms hrough moder libraries.

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